Catalog Description: 571 Statistical Methods (3) Data collection
strategies. Descriptive statistics. Probability
distributions, simulation of random variables, sampling distributions. Estimation and hypothesis testing, regression, Chi-Square test for
categorical data, simple design of experiments, nonparametric methods. Use of statistical software. Prereq: 1 yr. of calculus and a
statistics course.
Textbook: Statistics and Data Analysis: From Elementary to Intermediate by Ajit C. Tamhane and Dorothy D. Dunlop, Prentice
Hall, 2000.
Class Meeting Time and Place: Tuesdays and Thursdays at 3:40-4:55 p.m. in the
Attendance: Strongly encouraged so
that you can interact with me for students on campus. For distance students
this means listening to the lectures in real time so that you can interact with
me by asking me questions. In cases where it is impossible for you to listen to
the lecture in real time, maybe because of a conflict you must listen to the
lecture recording available through
Instructor: Ramón V. León
UT E-mail: rleon@utk.edu
Personal E-mail: ramonleon48@gmail.com
Office Phone: (865) 974-1636
Mobile Phone: (865) 773-2245. This is my main phone. In fact calls to my office
phone will be automatically forwarded to my cell phone. You are encouraged calling me at any time between 1 p.m. to 10 p.m.
including weekends. The idea is that if you have trouble understanding a
concept frequently a 5-15 minute call to me will clear it up saving you much
time. On homework questions please try your TA, Qin Xu, first (see below). On
calling me the rules are as follows: Most of time I will be able to answer your
questions right away but if I can’t I will call you back. You can leave
messages on my voice mail but sometimes I forget to check it for a couple of
days so if I don’t return your call in a timely fashion just call me
again. If to answer your question I need to show you how to use the software or
write something we will simply continue the call at the
Office: Room 337, Stokely
Management Center, UTK
Office Hours: Tuesdays and Thursdays
at 6:40 p.m. in the
Teaching Assistant: Qin Xu (qxu@utk.edu) You are
encouraged to send e-mail or call xxx at 865 974 3830 or 865 387 5006 with
homework or other questions 14:00 to 17:00 weekdays. Homework review session
will be conducted online on the
Tests: There will be two midterm exams and a final exam. The midterm exams
will be take-home, the final is in-class or proctored for distance students.
The
final is closed-book but one can bring up to fifteen pages of notes. I suggest
that you prepare these notes as the semester proceeds. The final is
comprehensive and considered difficult by most students since one needs to
understand a great deal of subtle material for it. However, there are no
surprises on the exams since all its concepts are covered in the notes and
elaborated in my lectures. Thus, students who diligently study should have no
trouble getting an A in it if they heed the warning below. Note that
the final is 30% of the grade so it is very important to do well in it.
Warning: How to
do well on the final
For
the final for on-campus students will meet in our classroom, PBB 113, on
Thursday, December 11th from 2:45 to 4:45 p.m.
For
distance student The Distance Education (DE) office will provide proctor
form and guidelines. It is the student's responsibility to
locate a proctor approved by DE (usually somebody from Human Resources in your
company.) and report this information to DE. Proctors should email
the completed form to disteducation@utk.edu or fax to (865)
974-4684. Exams will be sent directly to proctors
and students will schedule an appointment with their proctor
according to exam dates. If you have questions about the
proctoring process please contact Katie Fletcher at 1-800-670-8657 or
kfletche@utk.edu.
Project: You are to find a data set for you to analyze.
You will submit a written proposal by email describing the data set, the
analysis that you plan to do, and the questions that you plan to answer with
your data and analysis. You need to submit with your proposal the JMP file
containing your data. Upon my approval of this proposal you are to analyze the
data and write a report with your analysis. The report should be submitted by
email to at rleon@utk.edu
as an MS Word document attachment. The JMP file with the project data should
also be attached. The report should be at most four pages long and start with a
summary of the steps you used in your analysis (half a page). Then, you should
include only a few selected graphs and tables. For the others you should state
the conclusion you got from them and why they are important. The final model
should be clearly stated at the end of the report with a summary of the reasons
why you selected it. See Projects for suggestions.
Homework: Homework in a Word file
will be collected and graded. Email it to the teaching assistant Qin Xu at qxu@utk.edu.
Book Reports: A report on Calculated Risks: How To Know When Numbers Deceive You by Gerd Gigerenzer is required for 5% of the grade. The student is also encouraged to do an additional book report on The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. You have about three weeks to read the first and about a month and a half to read the second.
Note that this second
book report counts for 5% extra (bonus) points. (See the grading details
bellow) This bonus points can raise the grade for some by a letter grade.
You must use this form to do your reports.
If you have done these two book reports you can do an additional book report for extra credit. Some suggestions for books are given at Book Reports for Bonus Points. The extra-credit book report will be used to break 0.5-point ties in the course grade. So, for example, if your course point average is 89.5 you will get an A instead of a B+. This extra-credit book reports can be shorter and simpler. One of the short books in the list is on the use of statistics to win in baseball on the cheap as the Oakland Athletics do! So doing this report can be fun!
Grade:
Your course grade will be computed as follows:
|
Percent of Grade |
Activity |
|
15% |
Test I |
|
15% |
Test II |
|
30% |
Final exam |
|
5% |
Project proposal |
|
20% |
Project report |
|
10% |
Homework |
|
5% |
Book report: Calculated
Risk |
|
100% |
|
|
5% |
Book report: The
Black Swan |
|
105% |
|
|
|
|
Grades will be computed
on the usual 90,80,70... scale.
Software: SAS JMP Version
8. Enrolled students may download a one-year license using the their Net ID and
password at https://web.dii.utk.edu/softwaredistribution/
You also need to have access to MS Word.
Many comments that I make on you exams submitted via email use advanced MS Word
features. You must also have the equations editor of MS Word installed. It may
not be good enough for you to have Word Perfect and translate to MS Word format
though I have never seen a problem. You can contact the UT computer store,
phone 865-974-2930 or email uccs@tennessee.edu to get an
educational version of Microsoft Office which includes MS Word.
Disability: If you need course
adaptations or accommodations because of a documented disability or if you have
emergency information to share, please contact the Office of
Disability Services at 191 Hoskins Library at 974-6087. This will ensure
that you are properly registered for services.
